Bulletin n. 1/2015 | ||
June 2015 | ||
Sheng Lu |
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Impact of the Trans-Pacific Partnership on China’s Textiles and Apparel Exports: A Quantitative Analysis | ||
in International Trade Journal , Volume 29, Issue 1 , 2015 , 19-38 | ||
This study intends to quantify the potential effect of the implementation of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) on China’s textiles and apparel exports. Results show that, first, China’s apparel exports to the United States, Japan, and the NAFTA region will significantly decline after the TPP. Second, trade diversion effect caused by Japan will negatively offset the potential expansion of China’s textile exports to Vietnam and other Asian TPP members after the TPP. Third, Japan’s accession to the TPP will impose substantial negative impact on China’s textile and apparel exports in the TPP era. | ||