Bulletin n. 2/2016
December 2016
INDICE
  • Section A) The theory and practise of the federal states and multi-level systems of government
  • Section B) Global governance and international organizations
  • Section C) Regional integration processes
  • Section D) Federalism as a political idea
    • Callahan William A.
    China 2035: from the China Dream to the World Dream
    in Global Affairs , Volume 2, Issue 3 ,  2016 ,  247-258
    One of the great puzzles of the early twenty-first century is predicting what world order will look like by mid-century. This essay examines how Chinese futurologists are planning for the PRC to surpass the US to become the most important country in the world by around 2035. It argues that China is moving from a defensive and inward-looking notion of the future, exemplified by former president Hu Jintao’s Harmonious World policy, to a more offensive and expansionist view of the future that is informed by Xi Jinping’s China Dream policy, which includes a Sinocentric ‘World Dream’. While the geopolitics of US-China relations is the main focus of China’s futurology, the essay also explores how Europe’s normative power impacts China’s futures. With this in mind, the essay concludes that Beijing’s plans are unlikely to succeed. Rather, it is more likely that 2035 will see either 1) a fragmented world order that is neither unipolar nor bipolar, or 2) a continuation of the existing global liberal order, albeit in a more shallow form. The question remains: how Chinese people will respond when the PRC does not gain the world leadership that has been promised as ‘inevitable’ by China’s leaders? Full text available online at http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23340460.2016.1210240
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